对于非物化社会现象,尤其是复杂非物化社会现象能否进行计量 ? 如我们今天所讨论的社会稳定, 能否制造一种“量具”,计量出 社会的“稳定度 ,即给出一个具体的计量值? 应当说, 这是一个长期以来困扰社会学家的难题。究其原因, 除了非物化社会现象自身的高度复杂性和不确定性之外 , 笔者认为关键在于两个方面:一是人们对所要计量的非物化社会现象尚缺乏深入的定性分析 ,致使所谓的定量研究缺乏可靠的理论 前提;二是计量非物化社会现象的操作系统不健全致使社会指标体系缺乏得以运行的平台。为此, 本文拟从这两个关键性问题入手,构建计量社会稳定的指标体系及其运行平台——社会稳定监测-预警-预控管理系统。

The measurement of the social stability aims at the non-material social phenomena and it' s success relys on the theoretical efforts and the practical operation .Theovetically the establishment of theoretical mode of social stability is the key for the evaluation , due to the theoretical abstraction as the core of the evaluation systems in any social measurement . Operationally the social stability index system is a “soft ruler” rather than a “hard measure” that could be used directly .Here peopele can find the importance of the operation platform for the presentiment management system of social stability .

阎耀军

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