Age Structure Distorted Problem of Applying Kish Table for the Household Interview

本文以实际调查数据和概率理论为基础,研究抽样调查入户抽样阶段各种统计口径人口的年龄结构。在对比登记人口、Kish选样表人口和被调查人口的年龄结构特点的基础上,分析Kish表的理论概率分布,发现了低龄人口入选比例低和Kish选样表中入选人口与被访者年龄结构扭曲的原因。为解决Kish表应用的实际问题,对Kish表进行了仿真研究并提出对现有Kish表抽样过程的改进建议。 

Based on the survey data and probability theory , the paper studied the age structure of household during sampling survey.By comparing the age structure characters of the registered population, Kish table population and the respondent population, the author calculated the theoretical probability distribution of Kish table and found the reason of low proportion of the younger age group in the household sample table and the distorted age structure.For dealing with the problem of Kish table application, using the computer simulation methods, the author suggested the refine methods of the Kish table by reorder the distribution of Kish table population.

张丽萍

中国社会科学院重大项目“2008年中国社会状况综合调查”课题阶段性成果

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