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英文标题: | Research on the Success Tracking Rates in Panel Survey: Sample attrition in the context of social transition |
摘要: | 本研究将追踪调查的追踪结果成功与否作为研究对象,借助生态学中的标定再捕获理论,使用贝叶斯统计方法,将追踪成功概率分解为样本存活概率和存活样本的追踪成功概率。本文将该方法应用于1989-2009年8轮的追踪调查数据(CHNS),结果从家庭层面和个体层面,均证实了作者提出的中国追踪调查中追踪损耗的城乡差异假设、生命周期假设和社会转型假设。最后作者提出了减少追踪损耗的有关方法和建议。 |
英文摘要: | This paper focuses on the success tracking rates in panel survey in China. Based on the ecological mark-recapture theory,this research develops a method that decomposes non-ignorable sample attrition rates into survival rate and recruitment rate with Bayesian statistics. The proposed method is used to obtain the survival rates and recruitment rates of the eight-wave panel survey—China Health and Nutrition Panel Survey. The sample attrition urban-rural differences assumption, social transformation assumption and life cycle assumption are confirmed on both household level and individual level. At the end,this paper proposes suggestions on how to reduce sample attrition rates. |
作者: | 梁玉成 |
作者单位: | 中山大学社会学与社会工作系; 中山大学社会科学调查中心; |
期刊: | 社会学研究 |
年.期:页码 | 2011.6:132-153 |
中图分类号: | C31 |
文章编号: | |
关键词: | 追踪调查; 追踪损耗; 标定再捕获; 样本生存概率; 存活样本; 追踪成功概率 |
英文关键词: | |
项目基金: | 中山大学“211”、“985”专项基金及2009年度高校基本科研业务费中山大学青年教师培育项目的资助;教育部2010年度人文社会科学一般项目(项目编号:10YJA840021)的阶段性成果 |
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